Try the experiment yourself!
Heck, maybe you disagree with us. You may be able to prove us wrong!
Here's how to make an earthquake prediction experiment of your own:
First, you need TONS of information and a source to get
it from. A college library (or just a really, really huge one) should
have old newspapers on microfilm. Pick a newspaper that carries
lost pet ads and then find out the latitude and longitude of the
town where the newspaper is so you can pick earthquakes nearby.
Get the dates of earthquakes with magnitude greater than 4.5 that
are near the town of the newspaper. If the town is in Northern California
you can do this by using this webpage.
Magnitude 4.5 and above is good because these earthquakes will be
widely felt but you can adjust this and the distance from the town
to get a nice sized data set. We aimed for 10 earthquakes.
For towns outside of Northern California try looking here
for information on your area.
Then pick your random dates making sure to steer clear of your
earthquake days or anywhere near them. Why? See our
intrroduction page for an explanation.
Now find the newspapers for every one of thoses dates (Random
or Earthquake) and jot down the number of pets lost on those dates.
Be sure to write down their date and whether or not it's a random
day beside it. Then, lay out a chart
to write your information down. Make a column for the date, whether
it's a Random or Earthquake day, lost pets, and the total of lost
pets.
Now that you have your data, examine it to see if the number of
lost pet ads can be used to predict the earthquakes.
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